2
0
1
9

A year of uncertainty and confidence

“We’ll all grasp that a 15 percent chance of something happening isn’t 0 percent, as any seasoned Dungeons & Dragons fan can tell you. It’s roughly the equivalent of rolling a 1 — or any other single number — on a six-sided die.”

2019 will be the year when both journalists and their audiences will finally understand that most numbers we see in the media aren’t precise, but often come surrounded by a fuzzy cloud of uncertainty. We’ll all accept that this is just the way the world works. We may even come up with .

In 2019, readers won’t that swings based on random jittering. Also, journalists will stop reporting tiny variations of indicators that aren’t very accurate to begin with without putting them in their historical context.

In 2019, we’ll all grasp that a , as any seasoned Dungeons & Dragons fan can tell you. It’s roughly the equivalent of rolling a 1 — or any other single number — on a six-sided die. A is the chance of scoring 5 or 6 when rolling for damage with a short sword, enough to kill a goblin before it strikes back.

In 2019, most people will finally be able to as a range of possible paths of the center of a storm, and not as an area under threat.

In 2019, opinion editors will chastise columnists who still think that “error” in statistics is synonymous with “mistake,” or that means that all models are wrong. These editors will grasp that statistical uncertainty is always connected to a confidence level, and that the fact that should increase the confidence we have in them.

In 2019, we’ll all learn to be less certain about our beliefs. We may even who explain that the best way to become aware of our knowledge gaps is to try to explain our opinions to others without taking logical leaps or relying on arguments from authority. We’ll be humbled by our many failures at these attempts.

Needless to say, I don’t have full confidence in any of these predictions, but I do hope they’ll become true.

is the Knight Chair in Visual Journalism at the University of Miami.

Talia Stroud   Engaging people across lines of difference

Alexis Lloyd & Matt Boggie   The year product leads media

Jared Newman   AI-generated fakes launch a software arms race

Steve Myers   From trying to cover it all to covering what matters

Rachel Davis Mersey   Local news goes minimalist

Colleen Shalby   Representation becomes more than a talking point

Rebecca Lee Sanchez   We are all actors in the running rampant of political theater

Joshua Darr   The nationalization of political news will accelerate

Don Day   Timewalls and other reader revenue experiments

Mariana Moura Santos   From pageviews to impact

Robert Hernandez   Racists and sexists get replaced

Elite Truong   What do we owe the next generation?

Carrie Brown-Smith   Advocating a healthy civic life is no journalistic crime

Amy King   We should listen to the kids (especially on Instagram)

Simon Rogers   Data journalism becomes a global field

Meredith Artley   Huge demand for…anything but politics

Elizabeth Dunbar   Local reporters reflect on what’s not important

Tyler Fisher   This is journalism’s do-or-die moment

John Saroff   The pivot to reader revenue’s unintended consequences

james Wahutu   Think 2018 was bad? Wait until you see 2019

Manoush Zomorodi   Tech will do for information overload what it did for mindfulness

Moreno Cruz Osório   Damaged credibility and a new threat in Brazil

Errin Haines Whack   Say it with me: Racism

Joe Amditis   Give the audience a seat at the table

Christa Scharfenberg and Vickie Baranetsky   The year of the lawsuit

Jonathan Stray   More algorithmic accountability reporting, and a lot of it will be meh

Jesse Holcomb   We’ll get better at making the case for local journalism

Tamar Charney   Seriously: What do you do for people?

Cindy Royal   For journalism curriculum to change, its faculty needs disruption

Becca Aaronson   From bridge roles to product thinkers

Jeremy Gilbert   AI finally becomes helpful

Peter Cunliffe-Jones   The focus of misinformation debates shifts south

Sarah Alvarez   Simplify and redistribute

Dan Shanoff   Bet on sports gambling

Kawandeep Virdee   Media wants to take care of you

Andrew Ramsammy   The great re-pivot to audio

Zizi Papacharissi   Old interface, say hello to the new interface

Soo Oh   Just showing our work isn’t enough

Jack Riley   Facebook refugees, from ad revenue to news habits

An Xiao Mina   The death of consensus, not the death of truth

Carl Bialik   Fatigued news consumers will pay more for less news

Shalabh Upadhyay   A culture clash on India’s growing Internet

Ernst-Jan Pfauth   Readers are only getting started

Nathalie Malinarich   Video — yes, video

Steve Henn   Smart speakers get smarter

Elizabeth Jensen   Going where the Acela can’t take you

Axie Navas   The traffic hunt, CMS battle, and magazine identity crises loom

Pablo Boczkowski   Reimagining the media for post-institutional times

Joanne McNeil   Building a digital hospice

Rodney Gibbs   A bright — and young — year for audio

Libby Bawcombe   Haikus of the news

Logan Molyneux   Seeing social media for what it is

Seth C. Lewis   The gap between journalism and research is too wide

Ruth Palmer and Benjamin Toff   From news fatigue to news avoidance

Sarah Marshall   A return to destination journalism

Mike Rispoli and Craig Aaron   Government funds local news — and that’s a good thing

Kjerstin Thorson   Time to get mad about information inequality (again)

Mandy Velez   Putting the social back in social media

Carolina Guerrero   Spanish-language audio blows up

Masuma Ahuja   Make foreign coverage less foreign

Glyn Mottershead and Martin Chorley   When a tech company pulls the plug on your story

Jonas Kaiser   Catching up with “Neuland”

Laura E. Davis   More access, but not that kind

Jake Shapiro   Podcasting is media’s slow food movement

John Garrett   You can’t raise prices forever

Mike Caulfield   Ditch the media literacy cynicism and get to work

Simon Galperin   After capitalism’s fire, journalism’s secondary succession

Candis Callison   Learn from Indigenous journalists on covering climate change

Hearken   Pivot to people

Rasmus Kleis Nielsen   A long, slow slog, with no one coming to the rescue

Jean Friedman Rudovsky   Cross-newsroom collaborations strengthen communities

Greg Emerson   Power to the user

Amy Schmitz Weiss   Local news isn’t where you thought it was

Robin Kwong   Tech shouldn’t be the only field pollinating “news nerds”

Kyra Darnton   A shift to depth in video

Betsy O'Donovan and Melody Kramer   The most beautiful sentence in 2019 is “No.”

Sue Robinson   Reporters go on the offensive

A.J. Bauer   The coming splintering of conservative media

Francesco Zaffarano   Towards a rethinking of journalism on social media

Mario García   The rise of content “pilots”

Monique Judge   Committing to the truth, calling out lies

Michael Rain   The year of the culturally relevant curator

Tushar Banerjee   Interactive ads will be the new face of display advertising

Knight Foundation   A year of local collaboration

Thomas Hanitzsch   The rise of tribal journalism

Michael Grant   More newsrooms experiment their way to success

Stephanie Edgerly   It’s time to understand the un-audience

Seema Yasmin   We will create our own spaces

Joel Konopo   Influencers become the new liberated power in Africa

Celeste LeCompte   Local news needs local conversation to survive

Emma Carew Grovum   The year of the loyal reader

Cristi Hegranes   A year to invest in the security of local journalists

Angilee Shah   The year news orgs say “yes” to real leaders

Matt Waite   “I went to Node.js because I wished to live deliberately”

Johannes Klingebiel   We all grow hooves

Callie Schweitzer   The rise of the conveners

Rishad Patel   A design system for responsible publishing

Eric Ulken   The year you actually start to like your CMS

Mandy Jenkins   Fight the urge to run away from social media

Whitney Phillips   Our information systems aren’t broken — they’re working as intended

Matt Skibinski   Quality and reliability are the new currencies for publishers

Millie Tran   There is no magic — you’ve got this

Kevin Douglas Grant   A year to embrace journalism as public service

Justin Kosslyn   Text hits a tipping point

Brian Moritz   The subscription-pocalypse is about to hit

Jonathan Gill   Publishers build a common tech platform together

Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau   A more sincere definition of “community”

Chase Davis   We can acknowledge what we don’t know

Dave Burdick   Seeing our blind spots

Sue Cross   Return of the water cooler

Heather Chaplin   Agree we’re partisan — for the democratic system

Stefanie Murray   Local news wakes up and starts collaborating

Cherian George   Fake news wins in Asia

Cătălina Albeanu   Being responsible for what we don’t know

Ariel Zirulnick   Participation gets professional

Kainaz Amaria   We consider who’s behind the camera

Rubina Madan Fillion   Fighting the reality of deepfakes

Almar Latour   Reported facts, weaponized in service of action

Nico Gendron   Reaching Generation Z beyond the coasts

Linda Solomon Wood   The year of the climate reporter

Rebecca Searles   From silos to Swiss Army knife teams

Mat Yurow   Content competition from the tech companies

Borja Bergareche Sainz de los Terreros   Entering a more balanced era

Darryl Holliday   Let’s talk about power (yours)

Renée Kaplan   Our future could lie within our own organizations

Winny de Jong   Data journalism goes undercover

Victor Pickard   We will finally confront systemic market failure

Umbreen Bhatti   The story doesn’t end for the people we quote

Sarah Stonbely   Mapping the local news ecosystem — with scale but detail

Jennifer Dargan   You don’t build diversity through one-off training sessions

Pia Frey   You can’t solve a crisis without treating it as a crisis

Dheerja Kaur   A focus on problems, not platforms

Frank Mungeam   Tonight at 11: News, sports, and climate change

Julia Rubin   Meeting people where they are

Eric Nuzum   The year of the DIY podcast network

Alexandra Borchardt   Newsrooms need to build trust with their journalists, not just the audience

Shannon McGregor   More bogus embedded tweets in our stories

Salem Solomon   Correcting our corrections

Zuzanna Ziomecka   News leadership gets an overdue upgrade

Angèle Christin   Algorithms and the reflexive turn

Andrea Faye Hart   Doing less harm, not just more good

Claire Wardle   Forget deepfakes: Misinformation is showing up in our most personal online spaces

Nicholas Jackson   More transparency around newsroom decisions

Mike Isaac   The old exit doors for digital media companies are closing

John Biewen   Podcasts keep getting better

Rachel Glickhouse   Newsrooms will prioritize audience needs

Renan Borelli   Developing loyalty means developing your talent

Matthew Pressman   The battle over objectivity intensifies

Gabriel Snyder   Journalism doesn’t fit well in a funnel

Adam B. Ellick   Video forensic reporting goes mainstream — and local

Gideon Lichfield   Goodbye attention economy, we’ll miss you

Josh Schwartz   A pullback from platforms and a focus on product

Charo Henríquez   Pivot to journalism

Patrick Butler   Measuring impact will increase audience trust

Bill Grueskin   Toward a symphony model for local news

Rick Berke   The year of loyalty

Julie Posetti   The year of the fight back

Frank Chimero   Leave the phone at home and put news on your wrist

Taylor Lorenz   Personal branding is more powerful than ever

M. Scott Havens   Time to swing for the fences

Elva Ramirez   News — but make it cinematic

Ben Smith   The pendulum starts to swing back

Lauren Katz   Community becomes a core newsroom value

Cory Bergman   Journalism as a technology service

Steve Grove   A reckoning for tech’s work with news

Jenée Desmond-Harris   It finally sinks in that some people aren’t white

Reyhan Harmanci   Selling more stories to Hollywood

Zainab Khan   Publishers whose products can stand up to social media giants will win

Ernie Smith   The year we step back from the platform

Jeff Chin   We detox from Chartbeat

Tshepo Tshabalala   Ahead of African elections, unlock partnerships with fact-checkers

Jim Friedlich   Meet Citizen Kane 2.0

Alyssa Zeisler   We expand what (and how and who) we serve

Matt Karolian   Publishers come to terms with being Facebook’s enablers

Heba Aly   The rise of international nonprofit news

Ståle Grut   A new dawn for 3D tech in journalism

Alberto Cairo   A year of uncertainty and confidence

P. Kim Bui   The misfits become the bosses

Efrat Nechushtai   Journalism wants to be your friend, not your teacher

Francesco Marconi   The year of iterative journalism

Ole Reißmann   The rise of vertical storytelling

Kristen Muller   Local news fails — in a good way

Peter Bale   Venture capital runs out of patience

Ben Werdmuller   The platform tide is turning

Nisha Chittal   The homepage makes a comeback

Adam Smith   Platforms will have to help rebuild trust in news

Craig Newmark   The end of “loudspeakers for liars”

Adam Thomas   In Europe, foundations invest in news

Tim Carmody   Unlocking the commons

Bill Adair   Another year fighting Trump’s falsehoods

Andrew Donohue   Voting rights becomes the new climate change

Kelsey Proud   Journalism becomes the escape

LaToya Drake   Listen up: New stories, new storytellers

Jesse Brown   Canada’s subsidy for news backfires

Nikki Usher   Three ways national media will further undermine trust

Annie Rudd   A more intimate aesthetic of politics — on Insta

Raney Aronson-Rath   We learn “digital” doesn’t have to mean “short”

Elisabeth Goodridge   Yes, they signed up — but our job’s not over

Kate Myers   Journalism continues to be bad for democracy

Heather Bryant   We are responsible for how we use our power

Juleyka Lantigua-Williams   Podcasting battles East Coast bias

Hossein Derakhshan   The news is dying, but journalism will not — and should not

Marie Shanahan   Newsrooms take the comments sections back from platforms

Alexandra Svokos   Good luck convincing us millennials to pay

Geetika Rudra   The year of actionable (local) journalism