2
0
1
9

A year of uncertainty and confidence

“We’ll all grasp that a 15 percent chance of something happening isn’t 0 percent, as any seasoned Dungeons & Dragons fan can tell you. It’s roughly the equivalent of rolling a 1 — or any other single number — on a six-sided die.”

2019 will be the year when both journalists and their audiences will finally understand that most numbers we see in the media aren’t precise, but often come surrounded by a fuzzy cloud of uncertainty. We’ll all accept that this is just the way the world works. We may even come up with .

In 2019, readers won’t that swings based on random jittering. Also, journalists will stop reporting tiny variations of indicators that aren’t very accurate to begin with without putting them in their historical context.

In 2019, we’ll all grasp that a , as any seasoned Dungeons & Dragons fan can tell you. It’s roughly the equivalent of rolling a 1 — or any other single number — on a six-sided die. A is the chance of scoring 5 or 6 when rolling for damage with a short sword, enough to kill a goblin before it strikes back.

In 2019, most people will finally be able to as a range of possible paths of the center of a storm, and not as an area under threat.

In 2019, opinion editors will chastise columnists who still think that “error” in statistics is synonymous with “mistake,” or that means that all models are wrong. These editors will grasp that statistical uncertainty is always connected to a confidence level, and that the fact that should increase the confidence we have in them.

In 2019, we’ll all learn to be less certain about our beliefs. We may even who explain that the best way to become aware of our knowledge gaps is to try to explain our opinions to others without taking logical leaps or relying on arguments from authority. We’ll be humbled by our many failures at these attempts.

Needless to say, I don’t have full confidence in any of these predictions, but I do hope they’ll become true.

is the Knight Chair in Visual Journalism at the University of Miami.

Meredith Artley   Huge demand for…anything but politics

Angèle Christin   Algorithms and the reflexive turn

Francesco Marconi   The year of iterative journalism

P. Kim Bui   The misfits become the bosses

Reyhan Harmanci   Selling more stories to Hollywood

Ben Smith   The pendulum starts to swing back

Ståle Grut   A new dawn for 3D tech in journalism

Tamar Charney   Seriously: What do you do for people?

Jonathan Stray   More algorithmic accountability reporting, and a lot of it will be meh

Zainab Khan   Publishers whose products can stand up to social media giants will win

Amy Schmitz Weiss   Local news isn’t where you thought it was

Gabriel Snyder   Journalism doesn’t fit well in a funnel

Cătălina Albeanu   Being responsible for what we don’t know

Annie Rudd   A more intimate aesthetic of politics — on Insta

Kainaz Amaria   We consider who’s behind the camera

Mario García   The rise of content “pilots”

Adam Thomas   In Europe, foundations invest in news

Kjerstin Thorson   Time to get mad about information inequality (again)

Chase Davis   We can acknowledge what we don’t know

Alexandra Svokos   Good luck convincing us millennials to pay

Shalabh Upadhyay   A culture clash on India’s growing Internet

james Wahutu   Think 2018 was bad? Wait until you see 2019

Eric Nuzum   The year of the DIY podcast network

Jenée Desmond-Harris   It finally sinks in that some people aren’t white

Cindy Royal   For journalism curriculum to change, its faculty needs disruption

Craig Newmark   The end of “loudspeakers for liars”

Cristi Hegranes   A year to invest in the security of local journalists

Victor Pickard   We will finally confront systemic market failure

Pia Frey   You can’t solve a crisis without treating it as a crisis

Glyn Mottershead and Martin Chorley   When a tech company pulls the plug on your story

Jonathan Gill   Publishers build a common tech platform together

Moreno Cruz Osório   Damaged credibility and a new threat in Brazil

Jeremy Gilbert   AI finally becomes helpful

Raney Aronson-Rath   We learn “digital” doesn’t have to mean “short”

Mandy Velez   Putting the social back in social media

Libby Bawcombe   Haikus of the news

Jonas Kaiser   Catching up with “Neuland”

Joshua Darr   The nationalization of political news will accelerate

Renan Borelli   Developing loyalty means developing your talent

Elite Truong   What do we owe the next generation?

Andrew Donohue   Voting rights becomes the new climate change

Tshepo Tshabalala   Ahead of African elections, unlock partnerships with fact-checkers

Steve Grove   A reckoning for tech’s work with news

Emma Carew Grovum   The year of the loyal reader

Mandy Jenkins   Fight the urge to run away from social media

Kristen Muller   Local news fails — in a good way

Angilee Shah   The year news orgs say “yes” to real leaders

Heather Chaplin   Agree we’re partisan — for the democratic system

Sarah Alvarez   Simplify and redistribute

Winny de Jong   Data journalism goes undercover

LaToya Drake   Listen up: New stories, new storytellers

Ariel Zirulnick   Participation gets professional

Heba Aly   The rise of international nonprofit news

Renée Kaplan   Our future could lie within our own organizations

Rick Berke   The year of loyalty

Becca Aaronson   From bridge roles to product thinkers

M. Scott Havens   Time to swing for the fences

Nikki Usher   Three ways national media will further undermine trust

Tyler Fisher   This is journalism’s do-or-die moment

Hearken   Pivot to people

Joel Konopo   Influencers become the new liberated power in Africa

Michael Rain   The year of the culturally relevant curator

John Biewen   Podcasts keep getting better

Laura E. Davis   More access, but not that kind

Mike Rispoli and Craig Aaron   Government funds local news — and that’s a good thing

Nicholas Jackson   More transparency around newsroom decisions

Geetika Rudra   The year of actionable (local) journalism

Jared Newman   AI-generated fakes launch a software arms race

Sue Cross   Return of the water cooler

A.J. Bauer   The coming splintering of conservative media

Justin Kosslyn   Text hits a tipping point

Julia Rubin   Meeting people where they are

Rachel Glickhouse   Newsrooms will prioritize audience needs

Simon Rogers   Data journalism becomes a global field

Matt Skibinski   Quality and reliability are the new currencies for publishers

Talia Stroud   Engaging people across lines of difference

Ernst-Jan Pfauth   Readers are only getting started

Nico Gendron   Reaching Generation Z beyond the coasts

John Saroff   The pivot to reader revenue’s unintended consequences

Thomas Hanitzsch   The rise of tribal journalism

Andrew Ramsammy   The great re-pivot to audio

Heather Bryant   We are responsible for how we use our power

Dheerja Kaur   A focus on problems, not platforms

Nisha Chittal   The homepage makes a comeback

Errin Haines Whack   Say it with me: Racism

Rebecca Lee Sanchez   We are all actors in the running rampant of political theater

Mat Yurow   Content competition from the tech companies

Seema Yasmin   We will create our own spaces

Jean Friedman Rudovsky   Cross-newsroom collaborations strengthen communities

Jeff Chin   We detox from Chartbeat

Jesse Brown   Canada’s subsidy for news backfires

Christa Scharfenberg and Vickie Baranetsky   The year of the lawsuit

Steve Myers   From trying to cover it all to covering what matters

Robin Kwong   Tech shouldn’t be the only field pollinating “news nerds”

Patrick Butler   Measuring impact will increase audience trust

Sue Robinson   Reporters go on the offensive

Josh Schwartz   A pullback from platforms and a focus on product

Masuma Ahuja   Make foreign coverage less foreign

Gideon Lichfield   Goodbye attention economy, we’ll miss you

Hossein Derakhshan   The news is dying, but journalism will not — and should not

Jennifer Dargan   You don’t build diversity through one-off training sessions

Amy King   We should listen to the kids (especially on Instagram)

Carl Bialik   Fatigued news consumers will pay more for less news

Rubina Madan Fillion   Fighting the reality of deepfakes

Stefanie Murray   Local news wakes up and starts collaborating

Sarah Stonbely   Mapping the local news ecosystem — with scale but detail

Peter Cunliffe-Jones   The focus of misinformation debates shifts south

Almar Latour   Reported facts, weaponized in service of action

Juleyka Lantigua-Williams   Podcasting battles East Coast bias

Peter Bale   Venture capital runs out of patience

Betsy O'Donovan and Melody Kramer   The most beautiful sentence in 2019 is “No.”

Bill Adair   Another year fighting Trump’s falsehoods

Callie Schweitzer   The rise of the conveners

Kevin Douglas Grant   A year to embrace journalism as public service

Soo Oh   Just showing our work isn’t enough

Shannon McGregor   More bogus embedded tweets in our stories

Jack Riley   Facebook refugees, from ad revenue to news habits

John Garrett   You can’t raise prices forever

Linda Solomon Wood   The year of the climate reporter

Elizabeth Jensen   Going where the Acela can’t take you

Zizi Papacharissi   Old interface, say hello to the new interface

Matthew Pressman   The battle over objectivity intensifies

Knight Foundation   A year of local collaboration

Ruth Palmer and Benjamin Toff   From news fatigue to news avoidance

Elva Ramirez   News — but make it cinematic

Efrat Nechushtai   Journalism wants to be your friend, not your teacher

Johannes Klingebiel   We all grow hooves

Taylor Lorenz   Personal branding is more powerful than ever

Tushar Banerjee   Interactive ads will be the new face of display advertising

Salem Solomon   Correcting our corrections

Rasmus Kleis Nielsen   A long, slow slog, with no one coming to the rescue

Julie Posetti   The year of the fight back

Kyra Darnton   A shift to depth in video

Colleen Shalby   Representation becomes more than a talking point

Pablo Boczkowski   Reimagining the media for post-institutional times

Ben Werdmuller   The platform tide is turning

Logan Molyneux   Seeing social media for what it is

Axie Navas   The traffic hunt, CMS battle, and magazine identity crises loom

Darryl Holliday   Let’s talk about power (yours)

Bill Grueskin   Toward a symphony model for local news

Alyssa Zeisler   We expand what (and how and who) we serve

Matt Karolian   Publishers come to terms with being Facebook’s enablers

Elizabeth Dunbar   Local reporters reflect on what’s not important

Celeste LeCompte   Local news needs local conversation to survive

Claire Wardle   Forget deepfakes: Misinformation is showing up in our most personal online spaces

Adam Smith   Platforms will have to help rebuild trust in news

Monique Judge   Committing to the truth, calling out lies

Jim Friedlich   Meet Citizen Kane 2.0

Eric Ulken   The year you actually start to like your CMS

Seth C. Lewis   The gap between journalism and research is too wide

Tim Carmody   Unlocking the commons

Charo Henríquez   Pivot to journalism

Whitney Phillips   Our information systems aren’t broken — they’re working as intended

Umbreen Bhatti   The story doesn’t end for the people we quote

Cherian George   Fake news wins in Asia

Mariana Moura Santos   From pageviews to impact

Manoush Zomorodi   Tech will do for information overload what it did for mindfulness

Rishad Patel   A design system for responsible publishing

Brian Moritz   The subscription-pocalypse is about to hit

Carolina Guerrero   Spanish-language audio blows up

Ernie Smith   The year we step back from the platform

An Xiao Mina   The death of consensus, not the death of truth

Jake Shapiro   Podcasting is media’s slow food movement

Frank Chimero   Leave the phone at home and put news on your wrist

Joe Amditis   Give the audience a seat at the table

Elisabeth Goodridge   Yes, they signed up — but our job’s not over

Alberto Cairo   A year of uncertainty and confidence

Nathalie Malinarich   Video — yes, video

Rodney Gibbs   A bright — and young — year for audio

Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau   A more sincere definition of “community”

Sarah Marshall   A return to destination journalism

Marie Shanahan   Newsrooms take the comments sections back from platforms

Alexandra Borchardt   Newsrooms need to build trust with their journalists, not just the audience

Alexis Lloyd & Matt Boggie   The year product leads media

Candis Callison   Learn from Indigenous journalists on covering climate change

Zuzanna Ziomecka   News leadership gets an overdue upgrade

Michael Grant   More newsrooms experiment their way to success

Mike Isaac   The old exit doors for digital media companies are closing

Jesse Holcomb   We’ll get better at making the case for local journalism

Joanne McNeil   Building a digital hospice

Rebecca Searles   From silos to Swiss Army knife teams

Matt Waite   “I went to Node.js because I wished to live deliberately”

Stephanie Edgerly   It’s time to understand the un-audience

Dan Shanoff   Bet on sports gambling

Andrea Faye Hart   Doing less harm, not just more good

Greg Emerson   Power to the user

Rachel Davis Mersey   Local news goes minimalist

Steve Henn   Smart speakers get smarter

Ole Reißmann   The rise of vertical storytelling

Don Day   Timewalls and other reader revenue experiments

Millie Tran   There is no magic — you’ve got this

Robert Hernandez   Racists and sexists get replaced

Kawandeep Virdee   Media wants to take care of you

Lauren Katz   Community becomes a core newsroom value

Dave Burdick   Seeing our blind spots

Borja Bergareche Sainz de los Terreros   Entering a more balanced era

Adam B. Ellick   Video forensic reporting goes mainstream — and local

Kate Myers   Journalism continues to be bad for democracy

Carrie Brown-Smith   Advocating a healthy civic life is no journalistic crime

Kelsey Proud   Journalism becomes the escape

Mike Caulfield   Ditch the media literacy cynicism and get to work

Francesco Zaffarano   Towards a rethinking of journalism on social media

Simon Galperin   After capitalism’s fire, journalism’s secondary succession

Frank Mungeam   Tonight at 11: News, sports, and climate change

Cory Bergman   Journalism as a technology service